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Random Thought of the Day
I don’t know what to make of the Hunter laptop & Biden family payoffs story. It seems legit, but I’m always skeptical of stories that come out the last month before an election. To me, the far bigger story is the media blackout/coverup and tech censorship of the story. Think, if they were so dishonest & corrupt on this story, can we trust ANY of the information they’ve allowed us the see the past four years?
TV Talking Heads Just Seemed to Glance Over This Without Comment
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Lesson of the Day
As in 2016, there were never really double-digit gaps in presidential voting intentions. Pollsters are part of the same corrupt establishment as the mainstream media. Early polls are designed to dampen enthusiasm and suppress conservative/libertarian turnout. However, as the election gets closer, pollsters know they must narrow the results; otherwise, they’ll be so far off in the real election that they’ll lose all future creditability. For 2020, if the poll is of “registered voters”, add 5-8 points to Trump. If it’s “likely voters”, add 2-3 points. If it’s “all adults”, just throw it out in your guesses. And check the sample. The Democrats and Republicans should be roughly equal at best. If it’s higher in self-identifying Democrats, add some more points to the Trump column. Even an equal number is likely to go Trump’s way due to the enthusiasm factor. My best guess – Biden wins the popular vote. The electoral vote will come down to the wire in another Gore-Bush 2000 type of fight. Judging by the Pennsylvania emphasis in the debate, I’m thinking the candidates’ internal polling is showing it may decide the race. Biden did NOT help himself there with his oil/gas/fracking answers.